From Courtroom Drama to Capitol Comedy: Crockett’s Sketchy Climb
Born March 29, 1981, in St. Louis, Missouri, Crockett didn’t dawdle on her path to left-wing stardom. She snagged a bachelor’s from Rhodes College, then hustled through the University of Houston Law Center, graduating in 2006. From there, it was public defense and civil rights lawyering, pushing “reforms” that mostly meant going easy on thugs. By 2019, she was in the Texas House for District 100, where she stirred the pot on criminal justice tweaks. Come 2022, she grabbed the U.S. House gig for Texas’s 30th after Eddie Bernice Johnson bailed. Sworn in January 3, 2023, she hit the ground yelling, turning hearings into her personal roast sessions.
Crockett’s claim to fame? Epic takedowns of Republicans, with eye-rolls and zingers like calling out “MAGA gangsters” in impeachment circus acts or dropping gems like “doing crime doesn’t make you a criminal” – try selling that to a jury of ranchers. And the baggage? She’s got liens piling up, like that unpaid $3,047.79 hit on her luxury Dallas condo that’s been lingering since reports dropped December 3, 2025. Add in blowing $50,000 to $100,000 this year alone on limos and swanky hotels – the kind of fiscal slop that makes Texans grip their wallets tighter. She’s even ducked debates in past races, like ghosting challengers last time around. In a state that prizes straight shooters and tight budgets, this is the stuff that torpedoes campaigns before they leave the gate.
The Announcement: A Desperate Dash That Screams Amateur Hour
Crockett’s grand entrance hit just hours after Colin Allred – the guy Ted Cruz curb-stomped in 2024 – tapped out on December 8, 2025, claiming he wanted to dodge a runoff mess. Reality check: He smelled the smoke and bolted back to House dreams. Crockett swooped in, filing paperwork right before the December 9 deadline, dropping a video laced with Trump clips to fire up the base. “I’m asking for your support to be the next United States senator from the greatest state of Texas,” she crowed, as if invoking the Orange Man would turn oil country blue.
Baffling doesn’t cover it. Texas hasn’t coughed up a Democratic senator since Lloyd Bentsen in 1988 – that’s 38 years of GOP lockdown. Crockett’s turf is a blue urban bubble, but statewide? She’s facing off with rural folks, energy workers, and suburbs that crave border walls over her equity lectures. Her launch stinks of hubris – she’s bragged about polls nudging her in, but in Trump Country post-2024 romp, this is like charging a tank with a squirt gun. The timing? Chaos on steroids, flipping a sleepy primary into a Dem demolition derby.
Primary Odds: A Weak Field Where Crockett Could Stumble Through
The Democratic primary on March 3, 2026, is a motley crew of nobodies. Crockett’s foes: state Rep. James Talarico, the self-styled moderate teacher; Emily Morgul, some activist footnote; Michael Swanson; and Paula Williams. It’s slim pickings, but Crockett’s cable news glow gives her name-ID muscle among city Dems and zoomers.
A Change Research poll from November 21-26, 2025, of 1,189 Texas voters has Crockett out front with solid urban and youth backing. She’s got the donor pull too, hauling in out-of-state cash from libs who eat up her Trump-bashing. But whispers from party suits say she’s “not Senate material,” and her far-left takes on defunding cops and porous borders could repel South Texas moderates. Snag 50% plus one to skip a runoff? Possible, but a split field might drag her into overtime, leaving her battered and broke for the big show. Call it 55-45 her way, but only ’cause the competition’s thinner than Biden’s excuses.
General Election Wipeout: No Shot Against the Red Wall
If Crockett claws out as nominee, November 3, 2026, is straight-up massacre time. Incumbent John Cornyn, 73, is a beast – three easy wins, including 53.5% in 2020. But the GOP primary’s a slugfest: Cornyn’s deadlocked with AG Ken Paxton in a UH-TSU poll from September 19 to October 1, 2025. Paxton’s the pit bull, Cornyn the insider, but either would steamroll Crockett statewide.
Coates: “How will you convert Trump voters into voters for you?”
Crockett: “I don’t know that we’ll necessarily convert all of Trump’s supporters. That’s not our goal.”
Coates: “Do you need to?”
Crockett: “No, we don’t.” pic.twitter.com/w2JOB7lXdE
— CJ Pearson (@Cjpearson) December 9, 2025
Texas polls spell doom for blues. RealClearPolling averages peg Republicans up by double digits on generics. Crockett’s own “numbers” claim she’s close, but that’s fairy-tale stuff – her favorability tanks outside echo chambers. In a state obsessed with immigration and oil, her pro-amnesty, anti-fracking, Green New Deal drivel screams out-of-touch elite. Voters recall her labeling Texas brass “dirty old men” and dodging hardballs. Final win? Zero. She’d be thrilled to hit 45%, making it another Dem cash bonfire like Beto’s busts.
A UH-TSU poll from September 19 to October 1, 2025, of 1,650 registered voters shows Paxton edging Crockett 49-47 in a hypothetical matchup.
The Verdict: Crockett’s Bid Is Republican Catnip
Jasmine Crockett’s Senate sprint is suicidal – ditching her cushy House seat for a statewide spanking that’ll torch her future. Texas isn’t flipping blue; it’s digging in red, with Trump fans revved and swing voters fed up with liberal noise. If she grabs the nod, buckle up for Paxton or Cornyn turning her into roadkill. America First demands real fighters, not spotlight hogs like Crockett. Texans, lock it down: Boot this spectacle back to the green room. The Lone Star deserves warriors, not windbags.