What was Arctic Frost, and why was it such a threat?

Arctic Frost refers to a high-profile FBI investigation launched in April 2022 during the administration of President Joe Biden. It was a joint operation involving the FBI, the Department of Justice (DOJ) Office of Inspector General (OIG), the U.S. Postal Inspection Service, and the National Archives and Records Administration (OIG).

The probe was codenamed “Arctic Frost” and was initially opened by anti-Trump FBI agent Timothy Thibault. It described a “multifaceted conspiracy to overturn the results of the 2020 Presidential Election,” focusing on former President Donald Trump’s efforts to challenge the election outcome, including alternate elector activities.

This investigation served as the foundational case for Special Counsel Jack Smith’s subsequent criminal charges against Trump related to the 2020 election, which involved over 150 interviews, more than 400 subpoenas, and the seizure of at least 10 phones (including those of five lawyers and a U.S. Congressman).


Newly released whistleblower records, disclosed by Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA) during a September 16, 2025, oversight hearing with FBI Director Kash Patel, reveal that Arctic Frost was far broader than initially portrayed.

It expanded beyond Trump to encompass a sweeping investigation of Republican political infrastructure, placing 92 Republican-affiliated targets—including groups, organizations, and individuals—under its scope.

Examples of targeted entities include the Republican National Committee (RNC), the Republican Attorneys General Association, Trump-linked political groups, and Turning Point USA (TPUSA), the conservative organization co-founded by the late activist Charlie Kirk. Subpoenas were issued to these groups, and the probe’s scope included monitoring and investigative actions against them.


Why It Is Considered a Threat
Arctic Frost is viewed as a significant threat primarily due to allegations of political weaponization and abuse of power by the FBI and DOJ under former FBI Director Christopher Wray and the Biden administration. Critics, including Grassley and Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI), argue that it exemplifies a partisan misuse of federal law enforcement to target and undermine the Republican Party’s political apparatus, rather than focusing solely on legitimate electoral concerns. Key reasons it poses a threat include:

Erosion of Institutional Trust and Rule of Law
The investigation’s expansive reach—targeting an entire political party’s infrastructure—raises concerns about selective prosecution and the politicization of federal agencies. Grassley described it as “the vehicle by which partisan FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors could achieve their partisan ends and improperly investigate the entire Republican political apparatus.” This could chill free speech, political organizing, and opposition activities, as conservative groups like TPUSA faced subpoenas and scrutiny simply for their affiliations. If unchecked, such actions undermine public confidence in the FBI and DOJ as impartial enforcers of justice.

Precedent for Authoritarian Overreach
By starting with an anti-Trump focus and ballooning to include 92 GOP targets, Arctic Frost is seen as a blueprint for using government investigations to suppress political opponents. Whistleblower documents show it involved seizing devices from high-profile figures like Trump and former Vice President Mike Pence, as well as interviewing witnesses across multiple states. This mirrors historical abuses of power and could set a dangerous precedent for future administrations to weaponize investigations against rivals, threatening democratic norms and the balance of power.


Impact on Specific Groups and Individuals
Entities like TPUSA, which promotes conservative values on college campuses, were directly implicated, potentially disrupting their operations through invasive probes. The timing—amid ongoing election-related scrutiny—amplified fears that it was designed to hobble Republican efforts ahead of elections. Broader implications include the potential for similar tactics against other political factions, fostering a climate of intimidation.

These revelations have prompted calls for full transparency, with Grassley and Johnson demanding all related records from current DOJ and FBI leadership. While some sources frame Arctic Frost as a necessary probe into election subversion, the whistleblower evidence and Grassley’s analysis substantiate claims of bias, particularly given the one-sided targeting of Republican entities.