Spain goes to the polls on Nov. 29, and the Spanish right looks close to taking back the government from Pedro Sánchez’s draconian, globalist open-borders Socialists.
How Spain got here
Sánchez called the snap election on Oct. 5 after Congress rejected two of his housing decrees, Brussels Signal reported. A vote had been due in 2027. His minority government has not passed a budget since 2023, GB News noted, and has relied on a shifting coalition stretching from the far left to separatist parties.
The campaign officially opened at midnight on Nov. 13 and runs until Nov. 27. It follows a general strike over housing and wages on Nov. 11, the first backed by the two main unions since 2012. On Nov. 12, a parliamentary committee also rejected Sánchez’s rental decree.
Then there is the border. More than 72,000 migrants crossed into the Spanish exclave of Ceuta from Morocco in late July, GB News reported, and about 10,000 were still there when the election was called, in a territory of roughly 80,000 people.
Dirty Sánchez is using the military to carry invaders into mainland Spain. This is high treason for votes. https://t.co/wlA5J0XOoH
— Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧 (@TRobinsonNewEra) November 11, 2026
Corruption hangs over the Socialists as well. Sánchez’s former right-hand man, ex-transport minister José Luis Ábalos, was sentenced in June to 24 years and three months in the face-masks kickback case, and Spain’s Civil Guard raided his home on Nov. 5 in a new probe into rigged public works contracts, Brussels Signal reported. Sánchez’s wife, Begoña Gómez, is awaiting trial on corruption charges she denies.
What the polls say
All 15 private polls published through Nov. 12 gave the conservative People’s Party and Vox a combined absolute majority, averaging 50.6% of the vote, according to Brussels Signal. A Sigma Dos poll for El Mundo on Nov. 9 put the PP on 131 seats, the Socialists on 105 and Vox on 68. Together, the PP and Vox would hold 199 of 350 seats, well past the 176 needed.
🇪🇸 WE WANT TO LIVE, NOT JUST SURVIVE. That was the message as millions of workers walked off the job across Spain over soaring housing costs. It’s the country’s first general strike in 14 years. Rent there has nearly DOUBLED in a decade. Spain votes on November 29, and housing will be on every ballot. Source: AP / Writer: Julie https://t.co/U0EH5uNhQc
— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) November 12, 2026
Not every survey agrees. The state-run CIS pollster put the Socialists first at 33.3%, and a daily tracker by SW Demoscopia had the two right-wing parties three seats short on Nov. 12. That is the margin to watch.
The likeliest path to power for PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo runs through Vox. Feijóo opened his campaign in Badalona under the slogan “The necessary change,” promised an audit of where public money went under the Socialists and said Spain has the right to decide who enters the country. Vox leader Santiago Abascal is campaigning on “national priority” in public aid, a levy on remittances sent abroad, an end to mass regularizations of migrants and military reinforcement of Ceuta and Melilla.
Sánchez opened in Seville by comparing his opponents to Donald Trump, Jair Bolsonaro and Javier Milei. When he called the vote, he framed it as a choice against a “far-right wave.”
The bottom line
Spain is worth watching closely. A government that loses control of a border, governs by decree when it cannot pass laws, and sees its inner circle in court will eventually face the voters. That is what is happening there now.
There are lessons for us. The first is that sovereignty matters to ordinary people. When a border is overrun, voters notice no matter how loudly they are told to look away.
The second is about unity. The Spanish right is likely to win only if two parties that often dislike each other can govern together. American conservatives, who are now rebuilding after Nov. 3, should take note. Our own divisions are milder than Spain’s, which ought to make unity easier.
I will be watching the count on Nov. 29.